$160K at next halving? Model counts down to new Bitcoin all-time high

cointelegraph.com:

Bitcoin (BTC) price action may lack momentum this month, but one popular analyst is still eyeing new all-time highs.In his latest analysis, TechDev confirmed that he believes BTC/USD will see a “parabolic top” around the 2024 block subsidy halving.Less than twelve months away, Bitcoin’s next halving is already the topic of debate among market participants.Some argue that the event will lay the foundations for the next all-time high, in line with previous halving cycles.

For TechDev, however, the new BTC price record should come sooner rather later — specifically, in Q2 next year. The idea was originally covered in a Market Update blog post earlier in May.

This week, meanwhile, it was described as his “primary time-based idea.”A chart uploaded to Twitter showed the path to the Q2 top dotted with resistance lines — Fibonacci retracement levels and the current all-time high from 2021.Ultimately, BTC/USD should top out at around $160,000, it predicts.TechDev additionally updated a log scale BTC price prediction which he nonetheless acknowledged was unlikely to come true.“Not a forecast.

Not a prediction. Not even my primary idea,” a prior update from August 2022 stated.Formed using a simple log curve, the idea puts BTC/USD at a similar price level, but sooner — by the end of 2023.Update: #Bitcoin on adjusted log timeTime = log(weeks)^3.44 Next period meets curve at 160-180K December 2023.Observation based on a sample of 2.